The geometric random variable

The geometric random variable

The geometric random variable is used when one is modelling a series of experiments that have one of two possible outcomes - sucess or failure. The geometric random variable tells you the number of experiments that were performed before obtaining a sucess. This random variable can thus take values of 1, 2, 3, ... The probability mass function for the geometric random variable is given by: $$ f_X(x) = P(X=x) = (1-p)^{x-1} p $$ The expectation and variance for this random variable are $\mathbb{E}(X) = \frac{1}{p}$ and $\textrm{var}(X) = \frac{1-p}{p^2}$ respectively.

Syllabus Aims

  • You should be able to explain what types of phenomena can be modelled using the geometric random variable.
  • You should be able to write out the probability mass function for the geometric random variable and explain how this expression is derived by using a tree diagram.
  • You should be able to calculate the elements of the probability distribution function for the geometric random variable from the probability mass function.
  • You should be able to show that the probability mass function for the geometric random variable is properly normalised.
  • You should be able to derive expressions for the mean and the variance of the geometric random variable using the condition expectation theorem.

Contact Details

School of Mathematics and Physics,
Queen's University Belfast,
Belfast,
BT7 1NN

Email: g.tribello@qub.ac.uk
Website: mywebsite