Compound Poisson Process

Compound Poisson Process

A compound Poisson process is a continuous time (random) stochastic process with jumps. The jumps arrive randomly according to a Poisson process and the size of the jumps is random. We can write the following expression for the ``value" of the process at time $t$. $$ Y(t) = \sum_{i=1}^{N(t)} D_i $$ Notice that in this expression $N(t)$ and all the $D_i$ values are random variables so $Y(t)$ is thus random. $N(t)$ is a Poisson process and the $D_i$ values are independent and identially distributed random variables. Furthermore, the probability distribution function for the $D_i$ random variables is independent of $N(t)$. It is possible to show that the mean and variance for $Y(t)$ are given by: $$ \mathbb{E}[Y(t)] = \mu \lambda t \qquad \qquad \qquad \textrm{var}[Y(t)] = \lambda t( \sigma^2 + \mu^2 ) $$ where $\mu$ and $\sigma$ are the expectation and variance for the random variable $D_i$. $\lambda$ is the parameter for the Poisson process $N(t)$.

Syllabus Aims

  • You should be able to explain what types of processes can be modelled using a compound Poisson process.
  • You should be able to derive expressions for the expectation and variance of a random variable, $Y(t)$, if its value can be modelled using a Poisson process. This derivation should be done using the conditional expectation theorem.

Description and link

Module

Author

Notes on the compound poisson process SOR3012 J. F. McCann

Contact Details

School of Mathematics and Physics,
Queen's University Belfast,
Belfast,
BT7 1NN

Email: g.tribello@qub.ac.uk
Website: mywebsite