Compound Poisson Process
Compound Poisson Process
A compound Poisson process is a continuous time (random) stochastic process with jumps. The jumps arrive randomly according to a Poisson process and the size of the jumps is random. We can write the following expression for the ``value" of the process at time $t$. $$ Y(t) = \sum_{i=1}^{N(t)} D_i $$ Notice that in this expression $N(t)$ and all the $D_i$ values are random variables so $Y(t)$ is thus random. $N(t)$ is a Poisson process and the $D_i$ values are independent and identially distributed random variables. Furthermore, the probability distribution function for the $D_i$ random variables is independent of $N(t)$. It is possible to show that the mean and variance for $Y(t)$ are given by: $$ \mathbb{E}[Y(t)] = \mu \lambda t \qquad \qquad \qquad \textrm{var}[Y(t)] = \lambda t( \sigma^2 + \mu^2 ) $$ where $\mu$ and $\sigma$ are the expectation and variance for the random variable $D_i$. $\lambda$ is the parameter for the Poisson process $N(t)$.
Syllabus Aims
- You should be able to explain what types of processes can be modelled using a compound Poisson process.
- You should be able to derive expressions for the expectation and variance of a random variable, $Y(t)$, if its value can be modelled using a Poisson process. This derivation should be done using the conditional expectation theorem.
Description and link | Module | Author | ||
Notes on the compound poisson process | SOR3012 | J. F. McCann |
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A video explaining how to calculate the expectation and variance for the compound poisson process. | SOR3012 | G. Tribello |
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Some exercises involving the compound Poisson process | SOR3012 | G. Tribello |
Contact Details
School of Mathematics and Physics,
Queen's University Belfast,
Belfast,
BT7 1NN
Email: g.tribello@qub.ac.uk
Website: mywebsite