Exponential random variable

Exponential random variable

The exponential random variable is the continuous analogue of the geometric distribution. This random variable has the key property of being memoryless meaning that the exponential random variable $T$ has the following property: $$ P(T>t+s)=P(T>t)P(T>s) $$ The exponential random variable is the solution of the Kolmogorov equation for the two-state jump rate matrix: $$ \mathbf{Q} = \left( \begin{matrix} -\lambda & \lambda \\ 0 & 0 \end{matrix} \right) $$ The probability distribution function for this random variable is: $$ F_T(t)= P(T\le t) = 1 - e^{-\lambda t} $$ while the probability density is: $$ f_T(t) = \lambda e^{-\lambda t} $$ The expectation and variance of this random variable are $\mathbb{E}(T)=\frac{1}{\lambda}$ and $\textrm{var}(T) = \frac{1}{\lambda^2}$

Syllabus Aims

  • You should be able to explain the meaning of the memoryless property and why this property is important.
  • You should be able to write out a jump rate matrix for an exponential random variable and draw the corresponding transition graph.
  • You should be able to derive the probability distribution function for the exponential random variable by solving the Kolmogorov forward equation.
  • You should be able to write out the probability distribution function and the probability density function for the exponential random variable.
  • You should be able to obtain expressions for the expectation and variance of an exponential random variable by means of integration by parts.
  • You should be able to calculate the probability that event $X$ happens before event $Y$ given that the arrival time of both $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables that can be described using exponential random variables.

Contact Details

School of Mathematics and Physics,
Queen's University Belfast,
Belfast,
BT7 1NN

Email: g.tribello@qub.ac.uk
Website: mywebsite