The central limit theorem
The central limit theorem
The central limit theorem states that for a set of independent and identically distributed random variables, $X_1$, $X_2$, $\dots$ the following holds: $$ \lim_{N \rightarrow \infty} P\left( \frac{S_n/N - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{N}} \le z \right) = \Phi(z) $$ where $N$ is the number of random variables and $S_n = X_1 + X_2 + \dots$. In the above expression $\mu=\mathbb{E}(X)$ and $\sigma^2=\textrm{var}(X)$ so obviously this expression cannot be used if your random variable has either $\mathbb{E}(X)=\infty$ or $\textrm{var}(X)=\infty$. The central limit theorem is used to interpret the results from a set of experiments. Each experiment generates a random variable $X_k$, and we assume that the random variables generated by each of these experiments have the same underlying probability distribution function (they are identical) and each of these random variables is independent (the outcome of one experiment does not affect the outcomes of other experiments).
Syllabus Aims
- You should be able to state the central theorem without proof.
- You should be able to explain why the central limit theorem is useful and how it is used when interpretting the results from multiple experiments.
- You should be able to explain when the interpretation of multiple experiments offered by the central limit theorem breaks down.
- You should be able to use the central limit theorem to calculate confidence intervals.
Description and link | Module | Author | ||
Video introducing confidence limits and the central limit theorem | SOR3012 | G. Tribello | ||
Video explaining how statistical error bars should be calculated and interpretted. | SOR3012 | G. Tribello |
Description and link | Module | Author | ||
Exercises in which the central limit theorem is used to estimate probabilities | SOR3012 | G. Tribello |
Description and link | Module | Author | ||
An introduction to Monte Carlo sampling. | SOR3012 | G. Tribello | ||
Programming exercise to explain the central limit theorem to you. | SOR3012 | G. Tribello |
Contact Details
School of Mathematics and Physics,
Queen's University Belfast,
Belfast,
BT7 1NN
Email: g.tribello@qub.ac.uk
Website: mywebsite